59 / 100 followers - help us grow!
Follow on X: @Back2Carrington · Copy link: https://back-to-carrington.beehiiv.com/p/wmr-monday-gw5

WMR = 64.90 - Below Standard

WMR scale (single match /100):

  • 85–100 = Dominant (A+)

  • 65–69.9 = Clear Edge

  • 60–64.9 = Below Standard ← United this week: 64.90

  • 0–44.9 = Unacceptable

2-1 win over Chelsea at Old Trafford - the numbers show real improvement

Solid performance backed up by the stats: we earned 17.97/24 on defense after limiting them to just 0.43 expected goals, conceding only 1 big chance all match. Our keeper dragged things down slightly with -0.41 goals prevented rating, but the box defending was much better.

Going forward, much sharper decision-making this time - created 1.84 xG and hit the target with 4 out of 11 shots (36.36% conversion rate). That lifted our Attack rating to 18.53/24.

Big jump from the City disaster - up 26.16 points from that 38.73 rating.

Table of Contents

Key stats

  • xG: 1.84 vs xGA: 0.43

  • Shots / On target: 11 / 4 (SoT% 36.36%) vs 5 / 1

  • Big chances: 3 vs 1 conceded

  • Possession: 41% | Duels won: 49% | Tackles won: 76%

  • Corners: 5–5

  • GK goals prevented: –0.41

The Matchday Digest

The Matchday Digest

Premier League stats, projections, and analysis to keep you ahead of the game every matchday. Plus all the updates and behind the scenes of Fusion-Sim devlopement.

Model Point Breakdown

Category (→max)

Points

Attack (→24)

18.53

Defense (→24)

17.97

Possession (→14)

0.00

Def. Actions (→14)

8.40

Set Pieces (→10)

6.00

Adjustments (→14)

14.00 (Availability 5.00; Manager 4.00; Result 5.00)

WMR / 100

64.90

What drove the 64.90 rating

  • Handled game phases well. Going up a man early let us control the tempo and grab the opener. When it went back to 10v10 after 45+5', we stayed compact and disciplined until that late set-piece caught us out.

  • Defended smartly without the ball. Had 41% possession but limited them to 5 shots with just 1 on target (0.43 xGA). Proper box protection and keeping their quality chances to a minimum - Defense hit 17.97/24.

  • Much better in the final third. 36.36% of our shots hit the target (way up from 16.67% against City) and we created three big chances, pushing Attack up to 18.53/24.

    Weekly Match Rating: Chelsea match at ~65 as the rolling-5 average climbs.

Season highs from this match

  • Best performance so far: 64.90 (just beats Burnley's 64.66)

  • Tightest defensively: 0.43 xGA

  • Sharpest finishing: 36.36% shots on target

  • Fewest big chances given up: 1 (matching Arsenal game)

  • Strongest defensive display: 17.97/24

Areas to work on next week

  • Set-piece defending. That 80th minute goal was a well-worked short corner, need to attack the first ball and cover the back post better. Fourth set-piece goal conceded this season.

  • Keep the ball without losing defensive shape. Got 0/14 on possession points, aim for 6-8/14 through cleaner passing out and better midfield positioning.

  • Maintain shot quality. Keep that 35%+ conversion rate going to stay in the 18-20/24 attack range and get our keeper contributing positively instead of those -0.41 ratings.

New ratings every Monday, full form updates every Thursday. If this was helpful, pass it along to other Reds. 🙌

Reply

or to participate