Match Sharpness Index (MSI): 50.4 (Down from 50.7)

New to MSI? Read the full explainer → MSI Explained: Match Sharpness Index

What happened? Club Health Index raised MSI but the Brentford performance dragged us back down.

Result? MSI drops to 50.4.

This week's story

  • Club Health Index boost: October's update gave us a lift: fewer injuries and better minutes for new signings.

  • Brentford reality check: A pathetic showing in transitions and duels pulled things straight back down.

Understanding MSI

Match Sharpness Index (MSI) is a 0–100 rating of Manchester United’s overall form. It combines:

  • WMR (Weekly Match Rating): rolling last-5 games

  • CHI (Club Health Index): rolling last-3 months of club health

  • A guardrail that limits major week-to-week swings

Formula: MSI = 0.65 × WMR(Last 5) + 0.35 × CHI(Last 3).

October Club Health Index MSI Update

Read October CHI (52.3)Read Here

Club Health Index: 52.3 (Inconsistent)

October's CHI update gave MSI a lift from 50.7 to around 51.5.

Main reasons: fewer injuries (2 key starters out instead of 3), new signings and U23 players getting meaningful minutes, and finances back in the black.

The feeling around the club is still a mess, cohesion and leadership both dropped. Luckily player availability and new signing / U23 integration gains were enough to push things up. That's a +0.8 MSI boost prior to the Brentford MSI.

Brentford MSI Update

Read Brentford WMRRead Here

Then the Brentford match… The 47.2 performance dragged MSI from 51.5 straight down to 50.4.

Brentford created six big chances to our four. We couldn't deal with their transitions and kept losing duels. We had 56% possession but it meant nothing. More of the ball exposed us more on the break.

The attack score looked decent on paper but it's misleading. Nearly all our threat came from four isolated moments (Bruno's pen plus three Šeško chances). Strip those out and the other 10 shots generated basically nothing.

Defense was a nightmare. Cost us -1.1 MSI, wiping out the CHI gains and then some.

Where 50.4 sits on the ladder

  • 60–64.9: Mid-table baseline

  • 55–59.9: Domestic bottom-third

  • 50–54.9: Relegation FormWe’re here (50.4)

  • 45–49.9: Severe Underperformance

  • 35–44.9: Crisis

The Prem Report

The Prem Report

Premier League Gameday Insights

What needs to happen next

1) Start winning games or Amorim will be gone

We're averaging less than a point and a half per match over the last five. That's relegation form. With his position already shaky and cohesion falling apart, a couple more performances like Brentford and the decision will be made for him. The pressure's not coming, it's already here.

2) Pick a core XI and stick with it

Cohesion and leadership dropped because players don't know each other's tendencies. We've got bodies available now. Stop rotating and let the same group play three matches straight. They need to gel, and that only happens with consistency.

Bottom line

The frustrating part is we're not moving up at all, we're just stuck in this relegation form. Club health gave us a small bump then Brentford's performance took it right back. Amorims job is on the line and the team looks disconnected. He must change or we stay trapped in this cycle until he’s sacked.

If you enjoyed this newsletter, we'd appreciate it if you would forward it to a friend. If you're that friend, welcome! You can subscribe to Back to Carrington here.

Reply

or to participate