What CHI is
CHI (Club Health Index) is a single monthly score from 0 to 100 that tells you how the club is currently doing. It blends what's happening on the pitch with availability, recruitment signals, youth integration, outcomes, and financial health - then adds a structured “feel” read to capture what the numbers miss.
I've tried to make CHI stable enough to tell the big-picture story without being so slow that it misses when things start to fall apart.
CHI is the context setter. Weekly ratings bounce but CHI shows if the floor of the club is rising.
Why CHI exists
Weekly ratings are very up and down - we beat City and suddenly we're title contenders, lose to Brighton and it's crisis mode. CHI tries to cut through that nonsense and show what's actually happening month to month.
Fans can feel when things are going wrong before it shows up in the table, but I also didn't want this to be pure gut instinct. CHI is my attempt to blend both without just making stuff up.
It gives us a shared language to talk about progress and risk across the season.
The scale
80-100: Healthy and aligned
70-79.9: Strong and stable
60-69.9: Manageable issues
50-59.9: Inconsistent
40-49.9: Fragile
30-39.9: Turbulent
0-29.9: Crisis
Describes the state of the club, not the league table.
What goes into CHI
CHI is a weighted blend. I split inputs into Evidence (60 points) and Club Feeling (40 points). Everything adds up to 100.
Evidence - 60 total
Availability - 18
Basically, are our best players actually playing? When half the squad's in the physio room, CHI tanks. When everyone's fit, it goes up. Simple as that.Form - 16
Performance and results in the last 5 matches. I use points per game and xG differential over the same window to cut through lucky or unlucky noise.Recruit + Youth - 10
Minutes for new signings and under-23s in the last 5 games. This measures integration and renewal, not transfer headlines.Proven Outcomes - 8
Outcomes that validate our trajectory. Includes previous season best domestic cup round and last season's league finish.Finance Pulse - 8
Based on quarterly results. Wage bill flexibility, FFP position, budget clarity. A conservative dial that reflects risk rather than making grand claims.
Club Feeling - 40 total
Reflects where I think the club is heading in the near future. It's scored 0-40 through four 0-10 metrics. Down the road, I'll open Club Feeling to a community vote and publish the fan average.
Cohesion - 10
Dressing room togetherness, communication, and on-pitch connectivity.Tactical clarity & roles - 10
Clarity of system, role fit, and repeatable patterns.Leadership alignment - 10
Manager-staff-board alignment.Depth trust - 10
Readiness and reliability beyond the starting XI.
How CHI gets calculated
Each sub-score gets normalized to its weight, then everything sums to 100. Club Feeling uses a scoring rubric to keep me honest and avoid subjectivity drift. Evidence components use rolling 5-match windows where it makes sense.
Cadence
Updated monthly.
Most Evidence inputs use the last 5 competitive matches. If we don't have 5 matches yet early in the season, CHI can shift as the sample “fills in.” You'll see me call this maturation in early season notes.
What moves CHI
Upward drivers
Key players return and stay fit
xG differential turns positive alongside steady points per game
New signings and U23s get meaningful minutes
Clean governance and financial clarity reduce background risk
Clear tactical identity and role clarity show up on film and in the data
Downward drivers
Multiple long-term injuries pile up
Poor process hidden by one-off results
New arrivals sit on the bench or get misused for weeks
Budget squeeze or FFP chatter constrains our medium-term options
Coaching wobbles, mixed messages, or public misalignment
How CHI fits with everything else
WMR is the per-match rating.
CHI is the monthly anchor that tells you whether the club is actually in order.
MSI is the headline readiness score that combines the last 5 WMR averages with the last 3 CHI averages.
WMR tells you what happened. CHI tells you if it’s sustainable. MSI blends both into a simple ladder
Reading examples
CHI 65 - Manageable issues
Availability is decent, process is trending up, but we've got one or two structural questions to sort out.CHI 47.5 - Fragile (Current Sept. Reading)
The talent's there but availability, clarity, or feel is lagging. Expect good days and bad days until one of those levers turns.CHI 75 - Strong and stable
Alignment across the club. Injuries under control, new pieces bedding in, process and results reinforcing each other.
FAQ
Why does CHI jump around early in the season?
Because the Form and Recruit+Youth windows are still filling in through August and September. Early movement usually reflects data maturation, not a sudden structural shift. I always call this out explicitly in the monthly notes.
Does a cup upset automatically tank CHI?
It won't tank, but if United crash out of the FA Cup in, say, the fourth round, that hits the proven outcome section.
How does the transfer window affect CHI?
Announcements do nothing. Minutes and usage do everything. CHI tracks whether the new pieces are on the pitch doing the job they were signed for.
Is Club Feeling just subjective?
Yeah, it's subjective, but I'm not just pulling numbers out of thin air. I score each bit and write down why. Plus the data stuff gets 60% of the vote, so feelings can't completely hijack it.